{"id":4539,"date":"2015-04-03T15:39:42","date_gmt":"2015-04-03T20:39:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/?p=4539"},"modified":"2015-04-03T15:39:42","modified_gmt":"2015-04-03T20:39:42","slug":"statistics-in-my-life","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/statistics-in-my-life\/","title":{"rendered":"Statistics in My Life"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Any time I hear someone brag,<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;I&#8217;ve never used X in my life,&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I automatically assume that whatever it is, they haven&#8217;t learned it very well. Just about everything I&#8217;ve learned has come in useful, and the better I learned it, the more useful it is.<\/p>\n<p>Take statistics, for example. There is nowhere in my life that knowledge of statistics isn&#8217;t helpful. Darling Daughter Number 3 competes in mixed martial arts and I&#8217;m the worrying type.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_4540\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4540\" style=\"width: 460px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/rondawins.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-4540\" src=\"http:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/rondawins.jpg\" alt=\"Ronda armbars\" width=\"460\" height=\"402\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/rondawins.jpg 460w, https:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/rondawins-300x262.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 460px) 100vw, 460px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-4540\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Darling Daughter 3 Defending World Title (Photo by <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hansgutknecht\">@HansGutknecht <\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Whenever her next fight is announced, the very first thing I do is check the fight odds. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bjpenn.com\/odds-ronda-rousey-opens-15-1-favorite-correia\/\">For the one coming up in Brazil, she is a 15-1 favorite<\/a>. Knowing that makes my stress level go down a little. I&#8217;ll still drop by her gym a time or two during camp just to reassure myself that all is going well. As I said, I&#8217;m a worrier.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/help.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4509\" src=\"http:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/help.png\" alt=\"Player needing help\" width=\"450\" height=\"323\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/help.png 450w, https:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/help-300x215.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 450px) 100vw, 450px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.kickstarter.com\/projects\/7generationgames\/forgotten-trail-a-video-game-that-makes-you-smarte?ref=discovery\">Back our Kickstarter game, Forgotten Trail!\u00a0 Read more about what I&#8217;m worried about today here. Watch the video. It&#8217;s only 2 1\/2 minutes!<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The latest thing I&#8217;m worrying about is our Kickstarter campaign, but here again, statistics cheer me up. Two years ago, we did a Kickstarter campaign with a goal of $20,000. I should have researched a bit better in advance because even though Kickstarter touted\u00a0 the 44% success rate that is an average (there&#8217;s that knowledge of statistics again). Things that were less likely to get funded were projects seeking over $10,000, game projects and projects not featured on Kickstarter. We fit all three. Pretty depressing. In fact, looking at the statistics <em><strong>after<\/strong><\/em> we had started our campaign last time I found that less than 5% of campaigns raised over $20,000.<br \/>\nWell, we made it. You&#8217;d think we have learned our lesson, but due to a couple of reasons, I&#8217;ll go into another day, we decided to do ANOTHER Kickstarter two years later. So, here we are today.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/k100p1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4541\" src=\"http:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/k100p1.jpg\" alt=\"tired girls on hill\" width=\"450\" height=\"330\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/k100p1.jpg 450w, https:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/k100p1-300x220.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 450px) 100vw, 450px\" \/><\/a>The bad news is that the success rate on Kickstarter has gone down. The overall success rate is now 39% .\u00a0 The semi-good news is that the success rate for games actually ticked up a bit &#8211; it was 33% two years ago and it is 34% now.<\/p>\n<p>The really good news: success tends to be all or nothing &#8211; 79% of projects that raised 20% of their goal ended successfully funded. Of projects that raised 41% of their goal, 94% went on to be successfully funded. We&#8217;re at 42% and we still have two-thirds of our campaign to run, so I&#8217;m feeling somewhat less worried.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.kickstarter.com\/projects\/7generationgames\/forgotten-trail-a-video-game-that-makes-you-smarte?ref=nav_search\">So, now that you know what the odds are, help a sister out and go back us. I know you have access to the internet, because you&#8217;re reading this!<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Any time I hear someone brag, &#8220;I&#8217;ve never used X in my life,&#8221; I automatically assume that whatever it is, they haven&#8217;t learned it very well. Just about everything I&#8217;ve learned has come in useful, and the better I learned it, the more useful it is. Take statistics, for example. There is nowhere in my&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_kad_post_transparent":"","_kad_post_title":"","_kad_post_layout":"","_kad_post_sidebar_id":"","_kad_post_content_style":"","_kad_post_vertical_padding":"","_kad_post_feature":"","_kad_post_feature_position":"","_kad_post_header":false,"_kad_post_footer":false,"_kad_post_classname":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4539","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-dr-de-mars-general-life-ramblings","category-statistics"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4539","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4539"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4539\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4542,"href":"https:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4539\/revisions\/4542"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4539"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4539"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thejuliagroup.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4539"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}